Services / Model / Model backtesting and validation
Model backtesting and validation
An independent review of whether a sports model really works.
We look for leakage, overfitting and unstable results, rerun the model out of sample, and report calibration, Brier score and log loss against a sensible baseline.
This comes from 17 years of live quantitative trading, where a backtest that lies costs real money.
Who it is for. Sports startups, prediction platforms, data-science teams and researchers.
What is included
- Leakage and overfitting review
- Walk-forward and out-of-sample testing
- Calibration, Brier score and log loss
- Stability and model comparison
- Reproducibility review and written report
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